Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.262416 0.294315 0.330127 0.373624 0.425455 0.485781 0.562117
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.208761 0.249365 0.299253 0.366287 0.455973 0.574876 0.749998
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.178939 0.223365 0.281589 0.365978 0.489724 0.672779 0.982253
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.156725 0.201992 0.264217 0.359786 0.510566 0.755115 1.223140
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.143137 0.189627 0.256249 0.364044 0.546098 0.869084 1.572308
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.127828 0.172582 0.238600 0.349453 0.546263 0.920160 1.823835
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.114787 0.157295 0.221454 0.332453 0.537803 0.951304 2.048506
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.104767 0.145492 0.208244 0.319826 0.534358 0.991227 2.323243
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.102434 0.145142 0.213058 0.339059 0.596591 1.198042 3.267495
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.102851 0.149055 0.225207 0.373623 0.700074 1.556746 5.270799
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.100668 0.148475 0.229514 0.393847 0.778068 1.895004 7.974966
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.097094 0.145209 0.228625 0.403333 0.833241 2.200478 11.507139
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.091050 0.137597 0.219673 0.395875 0.847159 2.391324 15.258994
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.084204 0.128167 0.206604 0.377934 0.829418 2.459588 18.442889
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.079867 0.122814 0.200736 0.375251 0.854804 2.733743 26.987336
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.075488 0.117049 0.193496 0.368289 0.865863 2.959906 38.543866
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.072719 0.113962 0.191177 0.372550 0.913685 3.428521 70.669675
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.068253 0.107472 0.181481 0.357459 0.893970 3.508134 93.778531
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.063914 0.100971 0.171288 0.339916 0.861915 3.493417 115.001069
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.060342 0.095704 0.163247 0.326898 0.842950 3.556345 156.137195
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060045 0.096522 0.167789 0.346727 0.949230 4.654261 985.437910
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.060941 0.099653 0.177520 0.382396 1.136771 7.004197 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.060477 0.100114 0.181536 0.403286 1.277745 9.587547 NaN